Thursday, November 29, 2012

Patriots vs. Colts/Jets Post Game Analysis




I know I haven’t written anything in a while here, I’ve had a big case of writers block/being too lazy to actually sit down and put some words to paper. But in the last 2 weeks a lot has happened with the Patriots. The 59-24 win over the Colts was the first game we actually saw the defense take over and turn the game around for us. With the score tied early on, new addition Aqib Talib intercepted an Andrew Luck pass and returned it for a TD. This play completely changed the whole complexion of the game and from then on Luck looked like a confused rookie QB and the Patriots continued to pull away on the scoreboard. For the first time this year the secondary actually looked like they knew what the fuck was going on and I give Talib a lot of the credit for that.

Thursday, November 15, 2012

Who should win the AL MVP?


The battle for AL MVP is an interesting topic. On one hand you have Mike Trout, a 21 year old rookie center fielder who was called up from the minors in May and went on to have an unbelievable season. Trout batted .306 with 35 homers, 99 RBIs, 209 hits, 149 runs and 53 stolen bases. Those number are mind-boggling for anyone, let alone a rookie. Oh, and Trout was also the best center fielder in the game (somehow Adam Jones won the Gold Glove). He made countless spectacular plays and robbed several home runs as well. He is the prototypical 5 tool player and when his career is over in some 20 years, he will probably go down in history as one of the all-time greats. 

On the other hand you have Miguel Cabrera, a 29 year old third baseman who became the first player  in 45 years to win the Triple Crown. Carl Yastrzemski was the last player to do it in 1967 with the Red Sox "Impossible Dream Team". Cabrera's stats were staggering as he batted .330 with 44 homers and 139 RBIs. Although Cabrera doesn't play the field nearly as well as Trout, the fact that he attained a record that hadn't been broken in 45 years is enough to give him the edge. In any normal season Trout would run away with the MVP but Cabrera unbelievable feat is something that cannot be overlooked. Think about the all-time greats who have played in the last 45 years and have been unable to win the Triple Crown. It is really just unbelievable and I'm just happy I got to see it happen in my lifetime. 

Prediction:

AL MVP - Miguel Cabrera

So now what do the Red Sox do?




So now what do we do? As of right now the Boston Red Sox are far and away the worst team in the AL East. It’s not even close and the gap grew a hell of a lot wider on Wednesday when the Blue Jays acquired Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle, Josh Johnson and basically everyone else on the Miami Marlin who was making decent money.  And all the Blue Jays were forced to give up was SS Yunel Escobar and a few decent prospects. Word has it that Red Sox GM Ben Cherington was in on this trade and decided to stay put instead of pulling the trigger on a trade that would have solved a whole bunch of holes in the Red Sox roster. Right now the Red Sox need a left fielder, right fielder, shortstop, first baseman and starting pitching. Yea I know they have Jose Iglesias who can play shortstop but if you’re happy with him starting there for 162 games then you’re basically admitting the team is going to suck. He cannot hit major league pitching; in fact he couldn’t even hit AAA pitching last year. Yes he’s a wizard with the glove but with this current lineup they can’t afford to have a guy struggling to hit above the Mendoza line for the whole season.

Friday, November 9, 2012

Please Evaluate These Fantasy Football Teams and Vote for the Better Team.



I usually don’t talk about Fantasy Football here for several reasons, one being no one really cares if it doesn’t relate to their own team and two being that my team sucks. Today I was talking to my friend Brandon and was we were talking about how both of our teams have a 2-7 record and I said my team is finally coming together and if I win out for the rest of the season I can make the playoffs. He then said “explain to me why your team is any better than mine is”. So Brandon, this is why my team is exponentially better than your rag-tag group of underachieving players.

Quarterbacks:

Kyle’s Team: Matthew Stafford (Starting), Philip Rivers (Backup)

Brandon’s Team: Drew Brees (Starting), No Backup

First off, not having a backup QB is idiotic in itself. If Brees goes down with an injury, comes down with sickness Sunday morning or any other reason why he could possibly not start he’s screwed. Sure you can go and pick up Blaine Gabbert or Matt Cassel but in terms of depth, my team is better and I’m prepared for any type of curveball that’s thrown at me.
In terms of starting QB I will give him the slight edge. Brees has amassed 240 points while Stafford has 190 thus far. But, Stafford struggled mightily the first half of the season and in the last 2 weeks has started to turn it around. Looking ahead Stafford has 2 games remaining with Green Bay and has Minnesota, and Indianapolis on the schedule, all teams that allow huge fantasy numbers to QBs. Brees on the other hand has games against San Francisco, New York Giants and Atlanta, all of whom have defenses in the top half of the NFL in passing yards against. So looking ahead for the rest of the year Stafford has a much easier schedule and is projected to have a lot more fantasy points than Brees.

Advantage: Draw (Brees may be better but Stafford will have better 2nd half stats)

Running Backs:

Kyle’s Team:  Frank Gore, Mikel LeShoure, Issac Redman, Marcus Thigpen, Ben Tate, Jonathan Dwyer

Brandon’s Team: Matt Forte, Fred Jackson, Chris Rainey, David Wilson, Danny Woodhead

So our league has some ridiculous rules when it comes to return yards for special teams so keep that in mind as you analyze these rosters. To put it simply, you’re better off having a special teams guy on your roster than a running back or wide receiver in many cases because if a guy has 150 return yards he gets you 30+ points while a RB with 100 yards and a TD will get you 20-25 points.

When you compare Gore and Forte they are pretty much even. Both the 49ers and the Bears are good teams with tough defenses and they both rely on the run. Gore has amassed 99 points this year while Forte has gotten 93 points. Looking ahead though the 49ers, who are known primarily for running the ball, should continue to give Gore the majority of the carries as the season progresses. Also Gore is known as a back who gets stronger as the season progresses. The Bears on the other hand with Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall have started throwing the ball more this season than in the past and that in turn has cut down on the amount of touches Forte gets during the game.

Mikel LeShoure has become the go-to back in Detroit and even after missing the first 2 games of 2012, still has amassed 68 points. Fred Jackson is no doubt a good back but he is also very injury prone and is also splitting the carries in Buffalo with CJ Spiller. Thus far this season Jackson has amassed only 43 points. On the basis of secondary running back there is no doubt I have the decided advantage.

On the bench Redmen and Dwyer both add depth for me as Pittsburgh has always been known as a team who plays smash-mouth run first football. Last week Redman got me 21 points against the G-men. My superior knowledge of the game enabled me to pick him up off the free agent wire only days before his impactful game. Thigpen is one of those guys you probably have never heard of because he’s a 3rd string RB but he also returns kicks for the Dolphins and he inexplicitly has amassed 85 points in 2012. (I told you our league has crazy rules for special teams players.) My last RB on the bench is Ben Tate, a guy who is currently injured but when healthy, he could start at RB for the majority of NFL teams.

Brandon’s backs on the bench consist of Rainey, Wilson and Woodhead. Woodhead (51 points) is a guy I would love to have on my bench as he can get you points on rushing yards, receiving yards and return yards. He definitely adds depth to his bench. Wilson is a guy who has had an impact on the Giants and has amassed 100 points in 2012 but he has gained the majority of these points in 3 games early on in the season and now that Ahmad Bradshaw is back from injury, Wilson doesn’t figure to get many touches in the coming weeks. Rainey (90 points) is another one of those return specialists. Comparing all the running backs on the bench I think it’s very apparent that my team has much more depth and the fact that my players (minus Tate) all see the field and make an impact every week, it’s easy to see my RBs on the bench are better.

Advantage: Kyle

Wide Receivers

Kyle’s Team: Demaryius Thomas, Danny Amendola, Josh Cribbs, Dexter McCluster, Brandon Banks

Brandon’s Team: Dez Bryant, Hakeem Nicks, Torrey Smith, Jacoby Jones, Kevin Walter

This is probably the one category I absolutely dominate Brandon in the most. Demaryius Thomas (115 points) has been one of the best wide outs in the NFL this season and he has only gotten better as the season has progressed. The Denver schedule the rest of the year is one of the easiest in the NFL and as the offense continues to learn the Peyton Manning offense, who knows how much better Thomas will get. Danny Amendola (71 points) was leading the NFL in receptions and yards before his injury in week 5, but he now returns to the Rams fully healthy and there is no reason to think he won’t continue his dominance against NFC defenses the rest of the year. Josh Cribbs is the ultimate return specialist and has amassed 165 points in 2012. Even though he has only 54 receiving yards, his 1090 return yards makes him one of the top players in the whole NFL to own in our fantasy league. Only Doug Martin and Randall Cobb rank ahead of him in fantasy points for non-QB players.  My WRs on the bench (McCluster and Banks) are both return specialists and have amassed 77 points combined, but the thing about return guys is that one week they could have 2 points and the next they could have 42, it all depends on how many return opportunities they have.

Brandon’s main wideouts are Dez Bryant and Hakeem Knicks, 2 guys who you always think will have huge seasons when you draft them in September, only to disappoint you during the season. Yes they are both talented and should get you 15+ points consistently, yet for some reason they don’t. Bryant (65 points) has 2 games where he has had double digit points and Nicks (63 points) has done nothing so far this season besides his week 2 performance against Tampa Bay when he had 44 points. That leaves him 19 points in the other 8 games. Real dependable.  Torrey Smith has amassed 82 points so far in 2012, but the majority of his production occurred in the first several weeks of the season before the Ravens lost all their players on defense. They have struggled mightily ever since then and so has Smith’s production. .  For some reason Brandon continues to keep Jacoby Jones on the bench even though he has gotten him 114 points and is a threat with both receiving and return yards. He should be starting in place of Nicks no question about it. Kevin Walter is a nice bench wide out and has gotten 47 points this year. Brandon has decent but unpredictable core of wide receivers and when compared to my starting wideouts and my bench guys, there is no question my WR core is better.

Advantage: Kyle (No question)

Tight Ends

Kyle’s Team: Tony Gonzalez

Brandon’s Team: Scott Chandler, Dallas Clark

Gonzalez (74 points) has continued his unreal production into this season and with Atlanta’s (8-0) powerful offensive attack he has become one of Matt Ryan’s go-to targets. Even though Gonzalez is 36 years old, he still ranks 5th in the NFL in fantasy points for tight ends.
For some reason Brandon decided to go with 2 tight ends and only 1 quarterback, but that’s his idiotic problem. Scott Chandler (51 points) is a nice player but he, I and everyone else knows that you cannot count on him to get you significant points every week like Gonzalez can get you. Dallas Clark (25 points) was a great player and was almost unstoppable…in 2009. Wake up Brandon, its 2012 and 19 catches for 194 yards doesn’t really get it done. I don’t even need to go on any more, once again my tight end is much better than his.

Advantage: Kyle

Kicker

Kyle’s Team: Jason Hanson

Brandon’s Team: Sebastian Janikowski, Shayne Graham

Yes you are reading this correctly, he has 2 kickers on his team. As well as 2 tight ends. And only 1 quarterback.  His 2 kickers have 76 and 71 points respectively, mine has 81 points. The Lions score more often than both of those teams so he’s almost guaranteed to have more points every week. Yet again I have the advantage.

Advantage: Kyle

Defense

Kyle’s Team: Tampa Bay, St. Louis

Brandon’s Team: Indianapolis, Green Bay

Tampa ranks 29th in overall yards against, St. Louis ranks 13th. Indianapolis is 19th, Green Bay is 12th.
Tampa ranks 3rd in total turnovers forced, St. Louis 15th. Green Bay is 8th, Indianapolis is 19th.

I’m just going to say my defense is better because they cause more turnovers and more sacks which gets you more points.

Advantage: Kyle



On the main page of my blog please vote in the survey on the right hand side to choose who you think has the better team and help us solve this discussion.


Monday, November 5, 2012

You have to choose any quarterback to lead your team to victory. Who do you choose?




Ok so over the last few weeks there has been an interesting theoretical question being asked on all the Boston Sports radio stations. If you had to win one game, on a neutral field, having equal defenses, which quarterback do you choose? Logically the “contestants” are always the same:

  • Tom Brady

Career Achievements:
3 Super Bowls, 2 Super Bowl MVPs, 2 NFL MVPs, 7 Pro Bowls, 5 AFC Championships

2012-2012 Season Stats:
2408 yards, 65.3% Completion %, 16 TD, 3 Int., 100.6 QB Rating

  • Eli Manning

Career Achievements:
2 Super Bowls, 2 Super Bowl MVPs, 2 Pro Bowls, 2 NFC Championships

2012-2012 Season Stats:
2426 yards, 61% Completion %, 12 TD, 9 Int., 85.5 QB Rating

Sunday, November 4, 2012

Week 9 NFL Picks




Week 8 Record:
7-6

Overall Record:
16-9

Week 9 Picks:

Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals
Prediction: Broncos

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
Prediction: Ravens

Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers
Prediction: Packers

Chicago Bears @ Tennessee Titans
Prediction: Bears

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts
Prediction: Colts

Carolina Panthers @ Washington Redskins
Prediction: Panthers

Detroit Lions @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Prediction: Lions

Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans
Prediction: Texans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Oakland Raiders
Prediction: Raiders

Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks
Prediction: Vikings

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New York Giants
Prediction: Giants

Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons (SNF)
Prediction: Cowboys (Upset Special)

Philadelphia Eagles @ New Orleans Saints (MNF)
Prediction: Eagles